Stari Ribnjak Stadium · Analysis updated 07:49 UTC
Mladost Lješkopolje vs Jedinstvo Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.65 expected goals for Mladost Lješkopolje and 1.60 for Jedinstvo, a combined total of 3.25. That distribution gives Mladost Lješkopolje the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
62.7% probability
Expected goals
1.65 – 1.60
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Mladost Lješkopolje home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Jedinstvo away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 2 of the last 6 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
63%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
61%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.2%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–28.2%
- 2–26.8%
- 1–06.4%
Recent form
Mladost Lješkopolje
- 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Grbalj · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Kom · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-06T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Lovćen · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-30T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Jedinstvo · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Berane · 3-2 (W)
Jedinstvo
- 2026-10-09T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Lovćen · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Berane · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-30T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Mladost Lješkopolje · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Mogren · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-21T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Zeta · 3-2 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2024-06-04T17:00:00.000Z · Mladost Lješkopolje 0-0 Jedinstvo (First League)
- 2024-05-31T17:00:00.000Z · Mladost Lješkopolje 1-3 Jedinstvo (First League)
- 2019-05-08T15:00:00.000Z · Mladost Lješkopolje 0-1 Jedinstvo (Second League)
- 2019-03-24T14:00:00.000Z · Mladost Lješkopolje 2-2 Jedinstvo (Second League)
- 2018-11-04T12:00:00.000Z · Mladost Lješkopolje 2-0 Jedinstvo (Second League)
- 2018-09-09T14:00:00.000Z · Mladost Lješkopolje 0-0 Jedinstvo (Second League)
Second League table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 62.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.