Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 vs BATE II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.08 expected goals for Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 and 0.98 for BATE II, a combined total of 3.05. That distribution gives Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 win

62.7% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.08 – 0.98

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 63%, against 63% / 20% / 17% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.08 goals for Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 and 0.98 for BATE II, a combined 3.05 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 59% and both teams to score at 54%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Match result (1X2)

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 win63%

Draw20%

BATE II win17%

Double chance 1X

83%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

37%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals81%

Over 2.5 goals59%

Over 3.5 goals36%

Both teams to score54%

Correct score

2–010.2%
2–19.9%
1–09.8%
1–19.6%
3–07.1%

Recent form

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4

2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Ostrovets FC · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Slonim · 0-0 (D)
2026-09-04T14:00:00.000Z · H vs BATE II · 3-0 (W)
2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Uni Minsk · 1-0 (W)
2026-08-21T14:45:00.000Z · H vs Shakhter Soligorsk · 4-1 (W)

BATE II

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1. Division table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Slutsk	27	17	6	4	28	57
2	Niva	27	17	4	6	36	55
3	Lida	27	17	3	7	8	54
4	FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk	27	16	5	6	25	53
5	Slonim	27	14	5	8	17	47
6	Molodechno-DYuSSh 4	26	14	3	9	5	45
7	Bumprom	27	12	5	10	11	41
8	Shakhter Soligorsk	27	11	7	9	8	40
9	Dinamo Minsk II	25	10	5	10	5	35
10	Ostrovets FC	27	8	11	8	-2	35
11	Volna	27	10	4	13	-10	34
12	Smorgon	27	9	6	12	-3	33
13	Minsk II	27	9	3	15	-13	30
14	Orsha	27	7	6	14	-23	27
15	Uni Minsk	26	6	8	12	-10	26
16	BATE II	27	5	7	15	-25	22
17	Gomel II	27	5	6	16	-19	21
18	Osipovichy	27	5	4	18	-38	19

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 win, at 62.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.