Jamaica · Premier League · Matchweek 320:30

0 – 1

Sunday, 27 September 2026

Tru-JuiceWWDLW

Jasceria Park Recreational Center · Analysis updated 05:05 UTC

Molynes United vs Tru-Juice Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.72 expected goals for Molynes United and 2.10 for Tru-Juice, a combined total of 2.82. That distribution gives Tru-Juice the largest share of the 1X2 market at 69%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 69% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Tru-Juice win

69.2% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

0.72 – 2.10

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Molynes United home form

    6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Tru-Juice to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 69%, against 12% / 19% / 69% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.72 goals for Molynes United and 2.10 for Tru-Juice, a combined 2.82 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 54% and both teams to score at 45%, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.

Match result (1X2)

Molynes United win12%
Draw19%
Tru-Juice win69%

Double chance 1X

31%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

88%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Both teams to score45%

Correct score

  • 0–213.1%
  • 0–112.5%
  • 1–29.5%
  • 0–39.2%
  • 1–19.0%

Recent form

Molynes United

  • 2026-10-19T22:05:00.000Z · H vs Cavalier · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-11T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Dunbeholden · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-04T22:00:00.000Z · H vs Racing United · 0-6 (L)
  • 2026-09-27T20:30:00.000Z · H vs Tru-Juice · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-20T20:30:00.000Z · A vs Chapelton · 1-2 (L)

Tru-Juice

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Premier League table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Racing United7511916
    2Tru-Juice74211214
    3Montego Bay United6420614
    4Waterhouse63301312
    5Tivoli Gardens7322611
    6Cavalier6312010
    7Chapelton7232-69
    8Portmore United413036
    9Molynes United6204-76
    10Arnett Gardens512215
    11Mount Pleasant Academy4112-34
    12Dunbeholden6105-93
    13Treasure Beach6024-92
    14Humble Lions7025-162

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Tru-Juice win, at 69.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–2.

    It puts both teams scoring at 45% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.

    A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.