· Analysis updated 05:58 UTC
Monopoli U19 vs Benevento U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.75 expected goals for Monopoli U19 and 1.75 for Benevento U19, a combined total of 3.50. That distribution gives Monopoli U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
61.2% probability
Expected goals
1.75 – 1.75
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Monopoli U19 home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Benevento U19 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Monopoli U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 39% / 22% / 39% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.75 goals for Monopoli U19 and 1.75 for Benevento U19, a combined 3.50 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
61%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
61%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.2%
- 1–28.1%
- 2–18.1%
- 2–27.1%
- 0–15.3%
Recent form
Monopoli U19
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Perugia U19 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Cosenza U19 · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-08-22T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Brescia U19 · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-05-09T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Cosenza U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-05-02T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Catanzaro U19 · 0-3 (L)
Benevento U19
- 2026-10-24T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Avellino U19 · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Monopoli U19 · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-10T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Salernitana U19 · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Cosenza U19 · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Pescara U19 · 1-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Campionato Primavera - 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sampdoria U19 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 11 |
| 1 | Catanzaro U19 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 |
| 2 | Vicenza U19 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11 |
| 2 | Perugia U19 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 |
| 3 | Renate U19 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 |
| 3 | Palermo U19 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Cremonese U19 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Benevento U19 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 |
| 5 | Virtus Entella U19 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 |
| 5 | Bari U19 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | Venezia U19 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Avellino U19 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 |
| 7 | Cittadella U19 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 7 | Pescara U19 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 |
| 8 | Brescia U19 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 7 |
| 8 | Latina U19 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 9 | Mantova U19 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | Monopoli U19 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 |
| 10 | Padova U19 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 10 | Napoli U19 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Udinese U19 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 | Pisa U19 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Pro Vercelli U19 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 5 |
| 12 | Spezia U19 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 13 | Lecco U19 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -6 | 5 |
| 13 | Frosinone U19 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -9 | 4 |
| 14 | Modena U19 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Ascoli U19 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -7 | 2 |
| 15 | Sudtirol U19 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Cosenza U19 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -13 | 1 |
| 16 | Reggiana U19 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 1 |
| 16 | Salernitana U19 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -16 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 61.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.
A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.