· Analysis updated 02:42 UTC
Moreirense U19 vs Rio Ave U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.20 expected goals for Moreirense U19 and 1.01 for Rio Ave U19, a combined total of 2.22. That distribution gives Moreirense U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 38% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws roughly 60% of the time.
Model pick
Moreirense U19 or Draw
69.1% probability
Expected goals
1.20 – 1.01
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
69%
Double chance 12
71%
Double chance X2
60%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–113.3%
- 1–013.1%
- 0–111.0%
- 0–010.9%
- 2–18.0%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Moreirense U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 40% / 29% / 31% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.20 goals for Moreirense U19 and 1.01 for Rio Ave U19, a combined 2.22 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 38% and both teams to score at 45%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.
Model confidence
Moreirense U19 or Draw is the headline pick at 69% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Moreirense U19
Rio Ave U19
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Júniores U19 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitoria Guimaraes U19 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Sporting Braga U19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Porto U19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente U19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Feirense U19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Rio Ave U19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 7 | Academico Viseu U19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 8 | Moreirense U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 9 | Vizela U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 | Famalicão U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 1 | Sporting CP U19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | SC Farense U19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Oriental U19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Casa Pia U19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Mafra U19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | União Leiria U19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Benfica U19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Torreense U19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 9 | Alverca U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 | Santa Clara U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.