Stadion FK Motorlet Praha · Analysis updated 18:36 UTC
Motorlet Praha vs Admira Praha Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.47 expected goals for Motorlet Praha and 1.31 for Admira Praha, a combined total of 3.78. That distribution gives Motorlet Praha the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 73% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Motorlet Praha win
62.8% probability
Expected goals
2.47 – 1.31
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Motorlet Praha home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Admira Praha away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Motorlet Praha to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 63%, against 63% / 18% / 19% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.47 goals for Motorlet Praha and 1.31 for Admira Praha, a combined 3.78 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
81%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
37%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.1%
- 3–17.5%
- 1–17.4%
- 2–07.0%
- 2–26.0%
Recent form
Motorlet Praha
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Králův Dvůr · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-10-03T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Loko Vltavín · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Povltava FA · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Benešov · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Jiskra Domažlice · 2-5 (L)
Admira Praha
- 2026-10-10T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Benešov · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-10-04T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Jiskra Domažlice · 4-4 (D)
- 2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Aritma Praha · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-20T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Písek · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Dukla Praha II · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. liga - CFL A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | České Budějovice | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 26 |
| 2 | Králův Dvůr | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 26 |
| 3 | Viktoria Plzeň II | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 23 |
| 4 | Motorlet Praha | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 23 |
| 5 | Jiskra Domažlice | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 21 |
| 6 | Loko Vltavín | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 | Sparta Praha II | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 16 |
| 8 | Slavia III | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Admira Praha | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 14 |
| 10 | Příbram II | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Bohemians 1905 II | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 13 |
| 12 | Dukla Praha II | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Písek | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -7 | 11 |
| 14 | Benešov | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -8 | 10 |
| 15 | Aritma Praha | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -17 | 9 |
| 16 | Povltava FA | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -21 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Motorlet Praha win, at 62.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 73%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.