Motorlet Praha vs Dukla Praha II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.28 expected goals for Motorlet Praha and 0.73 for Dukla Praha II, a combined total of 3.00. That distribution gives Motorlet Praha the largest share of the 1X2 market at 72%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 72% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Motorlet Praha win

72.4% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.28 – 0.73

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Motorlet Praha home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Dukla Praha II away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Motorlet Praha to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 72%, against 72% / 17% / 10% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.28 goals for Motorlet Praha and 0.73 for Dukla Praha II, a combined 3.00 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Motorlet Praha win72%

Draw17%

Dukla Praha II win10%

Double chance 1X

90%

Double chance 12

83%

Double chance X2

28%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals80%

Over 2.5 goals58%

Over 3.5 goals35%

Both teams to score46%

Correct score

2–012.9%
1–011.3%
3–09.8%
2–19.3%
1–18.2%

Recent form

Motorlet Praha

2026-10-24T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Slavia III · 3-2 (W)
2026-10-17T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Sparta Praha II · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Králův Dvůr · 1-4 (L)
2026-10-03T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Loko Vltavín · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Povltava FA · 2-0 (W)

Dukla Praha II

2026-10-24T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Aritma Praha · 0-0 (D)
2026-10-18T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Písek · 4-0 (W)
2026-10-11T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Sparta Praha II · 1-2 (L)
2026-10-04T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Viktoria Plzeň II · 0-3 (L)
2026-09-27T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Bohemians 1905 II · 2-2 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

3. liga - CFL A table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	České Budějovice	12	8	2	2	21	26
2	Králův Dvůr	11	8	2	1	13	26
3	Viktoria Plzeň II	11	7	2	2	11	23
4	Motorlet Praha	12	7	2	3	9	23
5	Jiskra Domažlice	12	6	3	3	2	21
6	Loko Vltavín	12	5	3	4	-2	18
7	Sparta Praha II	10	4	4	2	10	16
8	Slavia III	12	4	2	6	1	14
9	Admira Praha	12	4	2	6	-4	14
10	Písek	12	3	5	4	-6	14
11	Příbram II	11	3	4	4	-1	13
12	Bohemians 1905 II	12	3	4	5	-5	13
13	Dukla Praha II	12	2	5	5	-3	11
14	Benešov	11	2	4	5	-8	10
15	Aritma Praha	12	1	6	5	-17	9
16	Povltava FA	12	0	2	10	-21	2

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Motorlet Praha win, at 72.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.

A 72% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.