Stadion FK Motorlet Praha · Analysis updated 09:14 UTC
Motorlet Praha vs Vysočina Jihlava Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.50 expected goals for Motorlet Praha and 3.50 for Vysočina Jihlava, a combined total of 6.00. That distribution gives Vysočina Jihlava the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 93% for over 2.5 goals and 88% for both teams to score, with 2–3 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Vysočina Jihlava win
57.5% probability
Expected goals
2.50 – 3.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Motorlet Praha home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Vysočina Jihlava away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Vysočina Jihlava to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 27% / 16% / 58% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.50 goals for Motorlet Praha and 3.50 for Vysočina Jihlava, a combined 6.00 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
43%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
73%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–35.5%
- 2–44.8%
- 2–24.7%
- 3–34.6%
- 1–34.4%
Recent form
Motorlet Praha
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Králův Dvůr · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-10-03T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Loko Vltavín · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Povltava FA · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Benešov · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Jiskra Domažlice · 2-5 (L)
Vysočina Jihlava
- 2026-09-18T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Slavia Praha II · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-11T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Ústí nad Labem · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Arsenal Česká Lípa · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-28T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Dukla Praha · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-25T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Motorlet Praha · 3-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-25T15:30:00.000Z · Motorlet Praha 0-3 Vysočina Jihlava (Cup)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Vysočina Jihlava win, at 57.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–3.
It puts both teams scoring at 88% and over 2.5 goals at 93%.
A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.