Mount Pleasant Academy vs Racing United Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.03 expected goals for Mount Pleasant Academy and 1.83 for Racing United, a combined total of 2.86. That distribution gives Racing United the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Racing United win

56.0% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.03 – 1.83

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Mount Pleasant Academy home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Racing United away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Racing United to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 21% / 23% / 56% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.03 goals for Mount Pleasant Academy and 1.83 for Racing United, a combined 2.86 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Mount Pleasant Academy win21%

Draw23%

Racing United win56%

Double chance 1X

44%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

79%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals78%

Over 2.5 goals54%

Over 3.5 goals32%

Both teams to score54%

Correct score

1–110.8%
0–110.5%
1–29.9%
0–29.6%
1–36.0%

Recent form

Mount Pleasant Academy

2026-08-18T22:00:00.000Z · H vs Cibao · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-02T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Delfines Del Este · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-31T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Robin Hood · 3-1 (W)
2026-07-28T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Weymouth Wales · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-25T20:00:00.000Z · H vs All Saints United · 0-0 (D)

Racing United

2026-10-20T01:00:00.000Z · H vs Waterhouse · 0-0 (D)
2026-10-12T22:05:00.000Z · A vs Tivoli Gardens · 4-3 (W)
2026-10-04T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Molynes United · 6-0 (W)
2026-09-27T22:05:00.000Z · H vs Montego Bay United · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-20T20:30:00.000Z · A vs Mount Pleasant Academy · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Premier League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Racing United	7	5	1	1	9	16
2	Tru-Juice	7	4	2	1	12	14
3	Montego Bay United	6	4	2	0	6	14
4	Waterhouse	6	3	3	0	13	12
5	Tivoli Gardens	7	3	2	2	6	11
6	Cavalier	6	3	1	2	0	10
7	Chapelton	7	2	3	2	-6	9
8	Portmore United	4	1	3	0	3	6
9	Molynes United	6	2	0	4	-7	6
10	Arnett Gardens	5	1	2	2	1	5
11	Mount Pleasant Academy	4	1	1	2	-3	4
12	Dunbeholden	6	1	0	5	-9	3
13	Treasure Beach	6	0	2	4	-9	2
14	Humble Lions	7	0	2	5	-16	2

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Racing United win, at 56.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.

A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.