· Analysis updated 14:37 UTC
MSK Tesla Stropkov vs Snina Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.47 expected goals for MSK Tesla Stropkov and 0.84 for Snina, a combined total of 2.30. That distribution gives MSK Tesla Stropkov the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 41% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
MSK Tesla Stropkov win
52.1% probability
Expected goals
1.47 – 0.84
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
MSK Tesla Stropkov home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Snina away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates MSK Tesla Stropkov to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 52% / 27% / 21% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.47 goals for MSK Tesla Stropkov and 0.84 for Snina, a combined 2.30 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
79%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
48%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–014.7%
- 1–112.3%
- 2–010.8%
- 0–010.0%
- 2–19.0%
Recent form
MSK Tesla Stropkov
- 2026-10-03T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Poprad · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-27T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Lipany · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Partizán Bardejov · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Spišská Nová Ves · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-06T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Stará Ľubovňa · 0-1 (L)
Snina
- 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Stará Ľubovňa · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Slávia TU Košice · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Slovan Sabinov · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-20T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Vranov nad Topľou · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Lokomotíva Košice · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. liga - East table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lokomotíva Košice | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 21 |
| 2 | Spartak Medzev | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Raslavice | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 19 |
| 4 | Stará Ľubovňa | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Lipany | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 17 |
| 6 | Poprad | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 16 |
| 7 | Partizán Bardejov | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Spišská Nová Ves | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 16 |
| 9 | MSK Tesla Stropkov | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 |
| 10 | Slávia TU Košice | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 13 |
| 11 | Snina | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Vranov nad Topľou | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -15 | 10 |
| 13 | Slovan Sabinov | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -12 | 6 |
| 14 | Kežmarok | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -21 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is MSK Tesla Stropkov win, at 52.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 44% and over 2.5 goals at 41%.
A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.