MTE 1904 vs Zalaegerszegi TE II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for MTE 1904 and 1.03 for Zalaegerszegi TE II, a combined total of 3.03. That distribution gives MTE 1904 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 60%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 60% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

MTE 1904 win

60.0% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.00 – 1.03

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

MTE 1904 home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Zalaegerszegi TE II away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates MTE 1904 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 60%, against 60% / 21% / 19% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.00 goals for MTE 1904 and 1.03 for Zalaegerszegi TE II, a combined 3.03 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

MTE 1904 win60%

Draw21%

Zalaegerszegi TE II win19%

Double chance 1X

81%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

40%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals80%

Over 2.5 goals58%

Over 3.5 goals36%

Both teams to score55%

Correct score

1–110.0%
2–110.0%
1–09.7%
2–09.7%
3–16.6%

Recent form

MTE 1904

2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Pápai Perutz · 0-0 (D)
2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Zalaegerszegi TE II · 1-3 (L)
2026-08-29T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Komárom · 0-0 (D)
2026-08-26T15:30:00.000Z · H vs 1908 SZAC · 5-1 (W)
2026-08-15T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Veszprém · 1-1 (D)

Zalaegerszegi TE II

2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Bicskei · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Gyori ETO II · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Haladás VSE · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs MTE 1904 · 3-1 (W)
2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Dorogi FC · 4-2 (W)

Head-to-head

2022-04-03T14:00:00.000Z · MTE 1904 7-0 Zalaegerszegi TE II (NB III - Southwest)
2021-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · MTE 1904 1-2 Zalaegerszegi TE II (NB III - Southwest)
2021-03-21T10:00:00.000Z · MTE 1904 1-1 Zalaegerszegi TE II (NB III - Southwest)
2020-08-26T15:30:00.000Z · MTE 1904 2-1 Zalaegerszegi TE II (NB III - Southwest)

NB III - Northwest table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dorogi FC	13	9	3	1	24	30
2	Tatabánya	13	9	3	1	21	30
3	Haladás VSE	13	8	5	0	23	29
4	SC Sopron	13	6	3	4	5	21
5	Komárom	13	6	3	4	2	21
6	Sárisápi Bányász	13	6	3	4	0	21
7	MTE 1904	13	5	5	3	6	20
8	Puskás II	13	6	2	5	5	20
9	Bicskei	13	6	1	6	1	19
10	Zalaegerszegi TE II	13	5	2	6	-1	17
11	Gyori ETO II	13	4	2	7	-3	14
12	Veszprém	13	3	4	6	-7	13
13	Király SZE	13	3	4	6	-8	13
14	Pápai Perutz	13	3	2	8	-15	11
15	Balatonalmádi	13	2	2	9	-25	8
16	1908 SZAC	13	0	2	11	-28	2

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is MTE 1904 win, at 60.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.

A 60% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.