Romania · Liga II · Relegation Group - 608:00

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Saturday, 2 May 2026

Muscelul · Analysis updated 04:51 UTC

Muscelul Câmpulung Elite vs CS Dinamo București Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.33 expected goals for Muscelul Câmpulung Elite and 1.83 for CS Dinamo București, a combined total of 3.15. That distribution gives CS Dinamo București the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

CS Dinamo București win

49.2% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.33 – 1.83

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Muscelul Câmpulung Elite home form

    1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • CS Dinamo București away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 3 of the last 6 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Muscelul Câmpulung Elite win28%
Draw23%
CS Dinamo București win49%

Double chance 1X

51%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

72%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Over 3.5 goals39%
Both teams to score62%

Correct score

  • 1–110.4%
  • 1–29.5%
  • 0–17.8%
  • 0–27.1%
  • 2–16.9%

Recent form

Muscelul Câmpulung Elite

  • 2026-05-09T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Gloria Bistriţa · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-02T08:00:00.000Z · H vs CS Dinamo București · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-04-25T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Politehnica Iasi · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-04-18T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-04-10T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Metalul Buzău · 0-1 (L)

CS Dinamo București

  • 2026-10-10T08:00:00.000Z · H vs CSM Satu Mare · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-22T17:00:00.000Z · A vs ASA Targu Mures · 3-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Concordia · 2-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Unirea Slobozia · 0-8 (L)
  • 2026-08-29T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Viitorul Şelimbăr · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-05-02T08:00:00.000Z · Muscelul Câmpulung Elite 0-1 CS Dinamo București (Liga II)
  • 2025-08-09T08:00:00.000Z · Muscelul Câmpulung Elite 2-3 CS Dinamo București (Liga II)
  • 2023-05-27T15:00:00.000Z · Muscelul Câmpulung Elite 3-2 CS Dinamo București (Liga III - Serie 4)
  • 2023-04-28T14:00:00.000Z · Muscelul Câmpulung Elite 1-0 CS Dinamo București (Liga III - Serie 4)
  • 2023-03-18T13:00:00.000Z · Muscelul Câmpulung Elite 0-4 CS Dinamo București (Liga III - Serie 4)
  • 2022-10-14T12:00:00.000Z · Muscelul Câmpulung Elite 3-4 CS Dinamo București (Liga III - Serie 4)
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Politehnica Timisoara118301327
2Slatina11812925
3Chindia Targoviste118031324
4Popești-Leordeni117311124
5Cetatea Suceava116321021
6Metalul Buzău11632621
7CSM Reşiţa11704321
8Concordia11614819
9FC Bacau115331218
10Bihor Oradea11533818
11Gloria Bistriţa11605118
12CS Afumati11524017
13Metaloglobus10334-412
14CSM Ramnicu Valcea10325-511
15ASA Targu Mures11326-711
16CSA Steaua Bucureşti11245-610
17Viitorul Şelimbăr11236-129
18Unirea Slobozia11227-18
19CS Dinamo București11218-167
20CSM Satu Mare11065-86
21Ştefăneşti11209-196
22Dumbrăviţa11038-163

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is CS Dinamo București win, at 49.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.

A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.