Muttenz vs Schötz Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.60 expected goals for Muttenz and 2.45 for Schötz, a combined total of 4.05. That distribution gives Schötz the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Schötz win

56.4% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.60 – 2.45

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Muttenz home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Schötz away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 7 of the last 8 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Muttenz win25%

Draw19%

Schötz win56%

Double chance 1X

44%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

75%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals91%

Over 2.5 goals77%

Over 3.5 goals58%

Both teams to score73%

Correct score

1–28.4%
1–36.8%
1–16.8%
2–26.7%
2–35.5%

Recent form

Muttenz

2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Black Stars · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-27T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Münsingen · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Courtételle · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Concordia Basel · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Delémont · 0-0 (D)

Schötz

2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Tuggen · 1-2 (L)
2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Bassecourt · 4-1 (W)
2026-09-30T18:15:00.000Z · A vs FC Wohlen · 5-1 (W)
2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Thun II · 5-1 (W)
2026-09-18T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Black Stars · 3-1 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-03-07T15:00:00.000Z · Muttenz 1-4 Schötz (1. Liga Classic - Group 2)
2025-08-23T14:00:00.000Z · Muttenz 6-1 Schötz (1. Liga Classic - Group 2)
2025-03-29T16:00:00.000Z · Muttenz 4-2 Schötz (1. Liga Classic - Group 2)
2024-09-14T14:00:00.000Z · Muttenz 1-2 Schötz (1. Liga Classic - Group 2)
2024-04-27T15:00:00.000Z · Muttenz 3-1 Schötz (1. Liga Classic - Group 2)
2023-10-14T14:00:00.000Z · Muttenz 2-3 Schötz (1. Liga Classic - Group 2)
2020-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · Muttenz 2-3 Schötz (1. Liga Classic - Group 2)
2019-10-19T14:00:00.000Z · Muttenz 0-3 Schötz (1. Liga Classic - Group 2)

1. Liga Classic - Group 2 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Langenthal	10	7	2	1	9	23
2	Courtételle	11	7	1	3	11	22
3	Schötz	11	6	2	3	11	20
4	Muttenz	11	6	2	3	6	20
5	Solothurn	11	6	1	4	7	19
6	Delémont	10	5	2	3	7	17
7	Concordia Basel	11	5	2	4	6	17
8	Buochs	11	5	1	5	-1	16
9	Muri-Gümligen	11	5	1	5	-3	16
10	Grasshopper II	11	5	0	6	-3	15
11	Zug	11	4	1	6	-8	13
12	FC Wohlen	10	3	3	4	-4	12
13	Thun II	11	3	3	5	-5	12
14	Bassecourt	10	3	1	6	-9	10
15	Black Stars	11	1	6	4	-5	9
16	Münsingen	11	0	2	9	-19	2

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Schötz win, at 56.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 77%.

A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.