Zimbabwe · Premier Soccer League · Matchweek 2213:00
MWOSWWLDW

0 – 2

Sunday, 12 July 2026

DynamosLDWDL

· Analysis updated 14:40 UTC

MWOS vs Dynamos Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.83 expected goals for MWOS and 1.28 for Dynamos, a combined total of 2.10. That distribution gives Dynamos the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 35% for over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 16%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Dynamos win

47.0% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

0.83 – 1.28

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • MWOS home form

    9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Dynamos to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 24% / 29% / 47% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.83 goals for MWOS and 1.28 for Dynamos, a combined 2.10 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 35% and both teams to score at 41%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 16%.

Match result (1X2)

MWOS win24%
Draw29%
Dynamos win47%

Double chance 1X

53%

Double chance 12

71%

Double chance X2

76%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals62%
Over 2.5 goals35%
Over 3.5 goals16%
Both teams to score41%

Correct score

  • 0–115.6%
  • 1–112.9%
  • 0–012.2%
  • 1–010.1%
  • 0–210.0%

Recent form

MWOS

  • 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs CAPS United · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Chicken Inn · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-22T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Kariba · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-01T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Scotland Mabvuku · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-07-25T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Platinum · 2-0 (W)

Dynamos

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Premier Soccer League table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Hardrock3120653566
    2Scotland Mabvuku30171033461
    3Ngezi Platinum31141341355
    4Dynamos31121541751
    5CAPS United31131261151
    6Herentals3114611248
    7MWOS31111281045
    8Highlanders319166443
    9Chicken Inn3011910-142
    10Platinum318167-340
    11Simba Bhora3191210039
    12Hunters3171410-1035
    13Kariba3161411-932
    14Bulawayo Chiefs3171014-1231
    15Agama317717-2128
    16Triangle United315917-1724
    17TelOne3141017-2322
    18Manica Diamonds314918-3021

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Dynamos win, at 47.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.

    It puts both teams scoring at 41% and over 2.5 goals at 35%.

    A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.