· Analysis updated 07:05 UTC
N'Zidane vs Gendrim Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.06 expected goals for N'Zidane and 1.03 for Gendrim, a combined total of 2.09. That distribution gives N'Zidane the largest share of the 1X2 market at 36%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 35% for over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 36% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
65.7% probability
Expected goals
1.06 – 1.03
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
N'Zidane home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Gendrim away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates N'Zidane to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 36%, against 36% / 30% / 34% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.06 goals for N'Zidane and 1.03 for Gendrim, a combined 2.09 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
66%
Double chance 12
70%
Double chance X2
64%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–113.5%
- 1–013.1%
- 0–112.7%
- 0–012.3%
- 2–17.2%
Recent form
N'Zidane
- 2026-10-17T16:15:00.000Z · H vs Nouakchott King's · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-10T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Tevragh-Zeïne · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-05-25T16:30:00.000Z · H vs AC Douane · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-05-19T16:45:00.000Z · A vs Ksar · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-05-10T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Tevragh-Zeïne · 4-1 (W)
Gendrim
- 2026-10-11T17:00:00.000Z · A vs AC Douane · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-05-25T16:45:00.000Z · H vs Police · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-05-19T16:45:00.000Z · A vs AC Douane · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-05-09T16:45:00.000Z · H vs Ksar · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-05-03T16:30:00.000Z · A vs N'Zidane · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pompiers | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Police | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 |
| 3 | N'Zidane | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Gendrim | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Armée | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 6 | Tevragh-Zeïne | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 7 | SNIM | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Chemal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Nouadhibou | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Nouakchott Academie | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Nouakchott King's | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 12 | Kaédi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 13 | Kédia | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | 1 |
| 14 | AC Douane | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 65.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 42% and over 2.5 goals at 35%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.