Kampong Speu Stadium · Analysis updated 06:28 UTC
NagaWorld vs Life Sihanoukville Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.93 expected goals for NagaWorld and 1.01 for Life Sihanoukville, a combined total of 2.95. That distribution gives NagaWorld the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 56% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
NagaWorld win
58.8% probability
Expected goals
1.93 – 1.01
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
NagaWorld home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Life Sihanoukville away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 8 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates NagaWorld to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 59% / 22% / 19% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.93 goals for NagaWorld and 1.01 for Life Sihanoukville, a combined 2.95 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
81%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
41%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.3%
- 1–010.1%
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.8%
- 3–16.4%
Recent form
NagaWorld
- 2026-10-25T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Boeung Ket · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Kompong Dewa · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs National Defense · 5-4 (W)
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Life Sihanoukville · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Phnom Penh Crown · 2-2 (D)
Life Sihanoukville
- 2026-10-25T08:45:00.000Z · A vs Kirivong Sok Sen Chey · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Phnom Penh Crown · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Kompong Dewa · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs NagaWorld · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-05-09T08:45:00.000Z · A vs Kirivong Sok Sen Chey · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
C-League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Visakha | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13 |
| 2 | NagaWorld | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Svay Rieng | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 11 |
| 4 | Angkor Tiger | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 |
| 5 | Phnom Penh Crown | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Dangkor Senchey | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 |
| 7 | Kompong Dewa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 8 | Life Sihanoukville | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 9 | Kirivong Sok Sen Chey | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 3 |
| 10 | Boeung Ket | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 1 |
| 11 | National Defense | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -17 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is NagaWorld win, at 58.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.
A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.