· Analysis updated 04:46 UTC
Námestovo vs Ružomberok II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.28 expected goals for Námestovo and 2.30 for Ružomberok II, a combined total of 4.57. That distribution gives Ružomberok II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 83% for over 2.5 goals and 81% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Draw/Away
60.1% probability
Expected goals
2.28 – 2.30
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Námestovo home form
8 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Ružomberok II away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Ružomberok II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 40% / 19% / 41% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.28 goals for Námestovo and 2.30 for Ružomberok II, a combined 4.57 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
59%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
60%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–27.1%
- 1–26.2%
- 2–16.1%
- 2–35.4%
- 1–15.4%
Recent form
Námestovo
- 2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Oravské Veselé · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Čadca · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Fiľakovo · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-09-08T14:30:00.000Z · H vs MFK Bytča · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Rimavská Sobota · 2-1 (W)
Ružomberok II
- 2026-10-04T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Banská Byst II · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-24T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Podkonice · 4-4 (D)
- 2026-09-20T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Oravské Veselé · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Čadca · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Fiľakovo · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-09T08:30:00.000Z · Námestovo 1-2 Ružomberok II (3. liga - Center)
- 2026-05-30T13:00:00.000Z · Námestovo 4-0 Ružomberok II (3. liga - Center)
- 2025-11-02T09:30:00.000Z · Námestovo 1-2 Ružomberok II (3. liga - Center)
3. liga - Center table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ružomberok II | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 29 |
| 2 | Námestovo | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 28 |
| 3 | Čadca | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 25 |
| 4 | Fomat Martin | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 24 |
| 5 | Fiľakovo | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 21 |
| 6 | Oravské Veselé | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 17 |
| 7 | Podkonice | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16 |
| 8 | Baník Kalinovo | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 16 |
| 9 | Rimavská Sobota | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | -4 | 15 |
| 10 | Novohrad Lučenec | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Banská Byst II | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 12 |
| 12 | Kysucké Nové Mesto | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -16 | 8 |
| 13 | Sokol Medzibrod | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -21 | 8 |
| 14 | Dolný Kubín | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 60.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 81% and over 2.5 goals at 83%.
A 60% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.