Luang Namtha Provincial Stadium · Analysis updated 07:27 UTC
Namtha United vs Viengchanh Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.33 expected goals for Namtha United and 2.03 for Viengchanh, a combined total of 3.36. That distribution gives Viengchanh the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Viengchanh win
53.5% probability
Expected goals
1.33 – 2.03
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Viengchanh away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Viengchanh to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 25% / 22% / 54% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.33 goals for Namtha United and 2.03 for Viengchanh, a combined 3.36 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 65% and both teams to score at 64%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
47%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
75%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.5%
- 1–19.4%
- 0–27.1%
- 0–17.0%
- 1–36.4%
Recent form
Namtha United
Viengchanh
- 2026-10-25T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Namtha United · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-10-18T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Champasak United · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-10T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Savannakhet · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-03-14T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Namtha United · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-03-08T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Salavan United · 1-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Lao League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ezra | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 |
| 2 | Salavan United | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 |
| 3 | Viengchanh | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 |
| 4 | Savannakhet | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Luangprabang FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 |
| 6 | Champasak United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Namtha United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 8 | Lao Army | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| 9 | Lao Toyota | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6 | 0 |
| 10 | Master 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -10 | 0 |
| 11 | Oudomxay Entremets | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -10 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Viengchanh win, at 53.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.
A 54% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.