Stadio Giuseppe Piccolo · Referee O. Rivera Olmedo · Analysis updated 04:44 UTC
Napoli U19 vs Bodø / Glimt U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.09 expected goals for Napoli U19 and 1.18 for Bodø / Glimt U19, a combined total of 3.27. That distribution gives Napoli U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Napoli U19 win
58.3% probability
Expected goals
2.09 – 1.18
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Napoli U19 home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Bodø / Glimt U19 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Napoli U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 58% / 21% / 21% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.09 goals for Napoli U19 and 1.18 for Bodø / Glimt U19, a combined 3.27 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
79%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
42%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.8%
- 1–19.4%
- 2–08.3%
- 1–07.9%
- 3–16.8%
Recent form
Napoli U19
- 2025-12-10T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Benfica U19 · 0-3 (L)
- 2025-11-25T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Qarabağ U19 · 2-0 (W)
- 2025-11-04T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Eintracht Frankf U19 · 0-0 (D)
- 2025-10-21T12:30:00.000Z · A vs PSV U19 · 0-0 (D)
- 2025-10-01T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Sporting CP U19 · 1-1 (D)
Bodø / Glimt U19
- 2026-04-15T13:15:00.000Z · H vs Tromsø U19 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-03-19T13:15:00.000Z · A vs Lyn U19 · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-03-08T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Lillestrøm U19 · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-03-01T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Vålerenga U19 · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-02-18T11:00:00.000Z · H vs HamKam U19 · 4-4 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Napoli U19 win, at 58.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.