Stadio Giuseppe Piccolo · Analysis updated 14:57 UTC
Napoli U19 vs Eintracht Frankf U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.30 expected goals for Napoli U19 and 1.79 for Eintracht Frankf U19, a combined total of 3.09. That distribution gives Eintracht Frankf U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Eintracht Frankf U19 win
49.1% probability
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.79
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Napoli U19 home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Eintracht Frankf U19 away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Eintracht Frankf U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 28% / 23% / 49% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.30 goals for Napoli U19 and 1.79 for Eintracht Frankf U19, a combined 3.09 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
51%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
72%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.6%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–18.2%
- 0–27.3%
- 2–16.9%
Recent form
Napoli U19
- 2025-12-10T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Benfica U19 · 0-3 (L)
- 2025-11-25T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Qarabağ U19 · 2-0 (W)
- 2025-11-04T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Eintracht Frankf U19 · 0-0 (D)
- 2025-10-21T12:30:00.000Z · A vs PSV U19 · 0-0 (D)
- 2025-10-01T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Sporting CP U19 · 1-1 (D)
Eintracht Frankf U19
- 2026-09-13T09:00:00.000Z · H vs RB Leipzig U19 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-05T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Erzgebirge Aue U19 · 7-2 (W)
- 2026-08-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Greuther Fürth U19 · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-08-19T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Dynamo Dresden U19 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-14T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19 · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Eintracht Frankf U19 win, at 49.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.