· Analysis updated 16:48 UTC
Naprzód vs KS Wieczysta Krakow II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.10 expected goals for Naprzód and 1.23 for KS Wieczysta Krakow II, a combined total of 3.32. That distribution gives Naprzód the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Naprzód win
57.4% probability
Expected goals
2.10 – 1.23
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Naprzód home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
KS Wieczysta Krakow II away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Naprzód to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 57% / 21% / 22% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.10 goals for Naprzód and 1.23 for KS Wieczysta Krakow II, a combined 3.32 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
78%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
43%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.7%
- 1–19.3%
- 2–07.9%
- 1–07.6%
- 3–16.8%
Recent form
Naprzód
- 2026-10-03T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Jarosław · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Busko-Zdroj · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Czarni Połaniec · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Hetman Zamosc · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · A vs KSZO 1929 · 2-2 (D)
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
- 2026-10-03T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Wiślanie Jaśkowice · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Korona Kielce II · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-19T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Star Starachowice · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-11T17:57:00.000Z · A vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-05T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
III Liga - Group 4 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chełmianka Chełm | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 30 |
| 2 | KSZO 1929 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 23 |
| 3 | Naprzód | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | Wisłoka Dębica | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 23 |
| 5 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 20 |
| 6 | Czarni Połaniec | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 20 |
| 7 | Jarosław | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 17 |
| 8 | Hetman Zamosc | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 |
| 9 | Wisła Kraków II | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 16 |
| 10 | Korona Kielce II | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 | Busko-Zdroj | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 14 |
| 13 | Sokół Kolb. | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 12 |
| 16 | Star Starachowice | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -10 | 8 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Naprzód win, at 57.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.
A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.