Zambia · Super League · Matchweek 713:00

13:00 UTC

Wednesday, 4 November 2026

· Analysis updated 01:36 UTC

NAPSA Stars vs Power Dynamos Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.88 expected goals for NAPSA Stars and 0.83 for Power Dynamos, a combined total of 1.70. That distribution gives NAPSA Stars the largest share of the 1X2 market at 34%, with the draw at 34%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 24% for over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 18%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 34% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Home/Draw

68.4% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

0.88 – 0.83

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • NAPSA Stars home form

    7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Power Dynamos away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

NAPSA Stars win34%
Draw34%
Power Dynamos win32%

Double chance 1X

68%

Double chance 12

66%

Double chance X2

66%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals51%
Over 2.5 goals24%
Over 3.5 goals9%
Both teams to score33%

Correct score

  • 0–018.3%
  • 1–016.0%
  • 0–115.1%
  • 1–113.2%
  • 2–07.0%

Recent form

NAPSA Stars

  • 2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Nchanga Rangers · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Zanaco · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Trident · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Man Utd Zambia Academy · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-12T07:00:00.000Z · A vs Prison Leopards · 1-2 (L)

Power Dynamos

  • 2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Man Utd Zambia Academy · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Trident · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Nchanga Rangers · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Konkola Blades · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Merreikh · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-02-21T13:00:00.000Z · NAPSA Stars 1-3 Power Dynamos (Super League)
  • 2025-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · NAPSA Stars 0-2 Power Dynamos (Super League)
  • 2025-04-03T13:00:00.000Z · NAPSA Stars 0-2 Power Dynamos (Super League)
  • 2024-11-27T13:00:00.000Z · NAPSA Stars 1-3 Power Dynamos (Super League)
  • 2024-06-01T13:00:00.000Z · NAPSA Stars 1-1 Power Dynamos (Super League)
  • 2023-12-23T13:00:00.000Z · NAPSA Stars 1-1 Power Dynamos (Super League)
  • 2023-02-04T11:00:00.000Z · NAPSA Stars 0-1 Power Dynamos (Super League)
  • 2022-09-17T13:00:00.000Z · NAPSA Stars 0-1 Power Dynamos (Super League)
  • 2021-03-30T13:00:00.000Z · NAPSA Stars 0-2 Power Dynamos (Super League)
  • 2020-12-16T13:00:00.000Z · NAPSA Stars 2-2 Power Dynamos (Super League)

Super League table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 68.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 33% and over 2.5 goals at 24%.

A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.