National Bank of Egypt vs Olympic El Qanah Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.21 expected goals for National Bank of Egypt and 0.99 for Olympic El Qanah, a combined total of 2.20. That distribution gives National Bank of Egypt the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 38% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Home/Draw

69.9% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.21 – 0.99

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

National Bank of Egypt home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Olympic El Qanah away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates National Bank of Egypt to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 29% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.21 goals for National Bank of Egypt and 0.99 for Olympic El Qanah, a combined 2.20 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

National Bank of Egypt win41%

Draw29%

Olympic El Qanah win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

71%

Double chance X2

59%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals65%

Over 2.5 goals38%

Over 3.5 goals18%

Both teams to score44%

Correct score

1–013.4%
1–113.3%
0–011.1%
0–111.0%
2–08.1%

Recent form

National Bank of Egypt

2026-09-14T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Ceramica Cleopatra · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-07T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Ghazl El Mehalla · 3-1 (W)
2026-08-31T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Asyut Petrol · 1-0 (W)
2026-08-26T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Zamalek SC · 0-3 (L)
2026-08-21T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Abu Qair Semad · 0-1 (L)

Olympic El Qanah

2026-10-11T14:00:00.000Z · H vs AL Masry · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-07T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Pyramids FC · 2-3 (L)
2026-09-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Masr · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-07T14:00:00.000Z · H vs El Geish · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-01T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Wadi Degla · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Premier League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Pyramids FC	6	6	0	0	11	18
2	Al Ahly	6	5	1	0	8	16
3	Zamalek SC	6	4	1	1	5	13
4	Future FC	6	4	1	1	4	13
5	Al Ittihad	6	4	1	1	4	13
6	Ceramica Cleopatra	6	4	0	2	4	12
7	National Bank of Egypt	6	3	0	3	0	9
8	El Mokawloon	6	2	2	2	1	8
9	Petrojet	6	2	2	2	0	8
10	Masr	6	2	2	2	-1	8
11	Olympic El Qanah	6	1	4	1	0	7
12	AL Masry	6	2	1	3	-2	7
13	Smouha SC	6	2	1	3	-2	7
14	El Geish	6	2	1	3	-3	7
15	Wadi Degla	6	1	3	2	-1	6
16	Asyut Petrol	6	1	2	3	-3	5
17	Enppi	6	1	1	4	-4	4
18	Abu Qair Semad	6	1	0	5	-8	3
19	El Gouna FC	6	0	2	4	-4	2
20	Ghazl El Mehalla	6	0	1	5	-9	1

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 69.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 44% and over 2.5 goals at 38%.

A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.