Neman vs Dinamo Brest Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.10 expected goals for Neman and 1.15 for Dinamo Brest, a combined total of 2.25. That distribution gives Dinamo Brest the largest share of the 1X2 market at 37%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 39% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 37% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

65.6% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.10 – 1.15

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Neman home form
9 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Dinamo Brest away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Neman win34%

Draw29%

Dinamo Brest win37%

Double chance 1X

63%

Double chance 12

71%

Double chance X2

66%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals66%

Over 2.5 goals39%

Over 3.5 goals19%

Both teams to score46%

Correct score

1–113.3%
0–112.1%
1–011.6%
0–010.5%
1–27.7%

Recent form

Neman

2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Isloch Minsk R. · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-12T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Torpedo Zhodino · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-06T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Belshina · 2-2 (D)
2026-08-29T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Slavia Mozyr · 1-0 (W)
2026-08-22T14:45:00.000Z · A vs Naftan · 2-0 (W)

Dinamo Brest

2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Dnepr Mogilev · 4-2 (W)
2026-09-13T17:10:00.000Z · A vs Dinamo Minsk · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-07T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Bate Borisov · 1-0 (W)
2026-08-29T14:30:00.000Z · H vs ML Vitebsk · 1-3 (L)
2026-08-23T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Baranovichi · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

2026-06-13T18:00:00.000Z · Neman 3-1 Dinamo Brest (Premier League)
2026-01-24T13:00:00.000Z · Neman 4-0 Dinamo Brest (Friendlies Clubs)
2025-09-15T16:00:00.000Z · Neman 0-2 Dinamo Brest (Premier League)
2025-04-26T17:55:00.000Z · Neman 0-1 Dinamo Brest (Premier League)
2024-10-26T14:00:00.000Z · Neman 2-2 Dinamo Brest (Premier League)
2024-06-01T17:00:00.000Z · Neman 2-0 Dinamo Brest (Premier League)
2024-02-11T12:30:00.000Z · Neman 1-0 Dinamo Brest (Friendlies Clubs)
2023-09-23T15:00:00.000Z · Neman 3-1 Dinamo Brest (Premier League)
2023-05-06T11:00:00.000Z · Neman 3-1 Dinamo Brest (Premier League)
2023-02-14T11:30:00.000Z · Neman 3-1 Dinamo Brest (Friendlies Clubs)

Premier League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	ML Vitebsk	25	16	8	1	34	56
2	Dinamo Minsk	25	17	4	4	27	55
3	FC Isloch Minsk R.	25	15	7	3	27	52
4	Dinamo Brest	26	14	5	7	19	47
5	Neman	26	13	4	9	7	43
6	FC Vitebsk	26	11	7	8	6	40
7	FC Gomel	26	11	7	8	10	40
8	FC Minsk	26	10	4	12	-3	34
9	Torpedo Zhodino	26	9	6	11	-3	33
10	Slavia Mozyr	26	8	7	11	-2	31
11	Baranovichi	26	7	7	12	-16	28
12	Belshina	25	6	6	13	-18	24
13	Arsenal	26	5	9	12	-20	24
14	Bate Borisov	26	4	9	13	-14	21
15	FC Dnepr Mogilev	26	3	11	12	-16	20
16	Naftan	26	4	5	17	-38	17

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 65.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 39%.

A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.