Neman vs Torpedo Zhodino Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.94 expected goals for Neman and 1.07 for Torpedo Zhodino, a combined total of 2.01. That distribution gives Torpedo Zhodino the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 31%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 33% for over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws roughly 62% of the time.

Model pick

Torpedo Zhodino or Draw

68.7% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

0.94 – 1.07

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Neman win31%

Draw31%

Torpedo Zhodino win38%

Double chance 1X

62%

Double chance 12

69%

Double chance X2

69%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals60%

Over 2.5 goals33%

Over 3.5 goals14%

Both teams to score40%

Correct score

0–114.3%
1–113.5%
0–013.4%
1–012.6%
0–27.6%

Why the model likes this

Most likely outcome
The model rates Torpedo Zhodino to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 31% / 31% / 38% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.94 goals for Neman and 1.07 for Torpedo Zhodino, a combined 2.01 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 33% and both teams to score at 40%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%.
Model confidence
Torpedo Zhodino or Draw is the headline pick at 69% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

Neman

Torpedo Zhodino

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Premier League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dinamo Minsk	14	10	3	1	14	33
2	ML Vitebsk	14	9	4	1	17	31
3	FC Isloch Minsk R.	15	9	4	2	15	31
4	Dinamo Brest	17	9	3	5	14	30
5	FC Gomel	18	8	5	5	12	29
6	FC Minsk	18	8	4	6	2	28
7	FC Vitebsk	18	7	5	6	1	26
8	Neman	17	7	3	7	1	24
9	Torpedo Zhodino	16	6	5	5	9	23
10	Slavia Mozyr	17	5	6	6	-3	21
11	Arsenal	18	5	6	7	-9	21
12	Baranovichi	17	4	5	8	-12	17
13	Bate Borisov	16	2	7	7	-7	13
14	FC Dnepr Mogilev	18	2	7	9	-13	13
15	Belshina	16	3	3	10	-17	12
16	Naftan	17	2	4	11	-24	10

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.