Sportplatz Nenzing · Analysis updated 16:11 UTC
Nenzing vs Admira Dornbirn Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.63 expected goals for Nenzing and 2.67 for Admira Dornbirn, a combined total of 4.31. That distribution gives Admira Dornbirn the largest share of the 1X2 market at 60%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 80% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 60% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Admira Dornbirn win
59.8% probability
Expected goals
1.63 – 2.67
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Nenzing home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Admira Dornbirn away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Admira Dornbirn to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 60%, against 22% / 18% / 60% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.63 goals for Nenzing and 2.67 for Admira Dornbirn, a combined 4.31 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
40%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
78%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–27.9%
- 1–37.0%
- 2–26.4%
- 1–15.9%
- 2–35.7%
Recent form
Nenzing
- 2026-06-13T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Rotenberg · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-06-07T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Ludesch · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-06-03T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Admira Dornbirn · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-05-31T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Röthis · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-05-22T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Lochau · 0-1 (L)
Admira Dornbirn
- 2026-06-13T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Lochau · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-06-06T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Hard · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-06-03T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Nenzing · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-05-30T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Wolfurt · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-05-23T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Dornbirner SV · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Landesliga - Vorarlbergliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Röthis | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 50 |
| 2 | Wolfurt | 25 | 15 | 0 | 10 | 12 | 45 |
| 3 | Lochau | 25 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 45 |
| 4 | FC Egg | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 44 |
| 5 | Admira Dornbirn | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 43 |
| 6 | Dornbirner SV | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 37 |
| 7 | Hard | 24 | 11 | 2 | 11 | -2 | 35 |
| 8 | Ludesch | 25 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 34 |
| 9 | Blau-Weiß Feldkirch | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | -11 | 30 |
| 10 | Austria Lustenau II | 25 | 10 | 2 | 13 | -1 | 32 |
| 11 | Rotenberg | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | -3 | 31 |
| 12 | Bizau | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -16 | 25 |
| 13 | Nenzing | 25 | 6 | 4 | 14 | -28 | 22 |
| 14 | Göfis | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | -28 | 15 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Admira Dornbirn win, at 59.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 75% and over 2.5 goals at 80%.
A 60% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.