Sportplatz Nenzing · Analysis updated 15:59 UTC
Nenzing vs Austria Lustenau II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.69 expected goals for Nenzing and 2.31 for Austria Lustenau II, a combined total of 4.00. That distribution gives Austria Lustenau II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 76% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Austria Lustenau II win
51.8% probability
Expected goals
1.69 – 2.31
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Nenzing home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Austria Lustenau II away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Austria Lustenau II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 28% / 20% / 52% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.69 goals for Nenzing and 2.31 for Austria Lustenau II, a combined 4.00 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
48%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
72%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–28.3%
- 1–17.2%
- 2–27.0%
- 1–36.3%
- 2–16.1%
Recent form
Nenzing
- 2026-06-13T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Rotenberg · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-06-07T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Ludesch · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-06-03T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Admira Dornbirn · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-05-31T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Röthis · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-05-22T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Lochau · 0-1 (L)
Austria Lustenau II
- 2026-06-13T08:45:00.000Z · H vs Röthis · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-06-06T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Blau-Weiß Feldkirch · 6-1 (W)
- 2026-06-03T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Lochau · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-05-29T17:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Egg · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-05-23T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Hard · 1-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Landesliga - Vorarlbergliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Röthis | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 50 |
| 2 | Wolfurt | 25 | 15 | 0 | 10 | 12 | 45 |
| 3 | Lochau | 25 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 45 |
| 4 | FC Egg | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 44 |
| 5 | Admira Dornbirn | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 43 |
| 6 | Dornbirner SV | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 37 |
| 7 | Hard | 24 | 11 | 2 | 11 | -2 | 35 |
| 8 | Ludesch | 25 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 34 |
| 9 | Blau-Weiß Feldkirch | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | -11 | 30 |
| 10 | Austria Lustenau II | 25 | 10 | 2 | 13 | -1 | 32 |
| 11 | Rotenberg | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | -3 | 31 |
| 12 | Bizau | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -16 | 25 |
| 13 | Nenzing | 25 | 6 | 4 | 14 | -28 | 22 |
| 14 | Göfis | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | -28 | 15 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Austria Lustenau II win, at 51.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 76%.
A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.