Sportplatz Nenzing · Analysis updated 15:12 UTC
Nenzing vs Rotenberg Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.13 expected goals for Nenzing and 1.95 for Rotenberg, a combined total of 3.08. That distribution gives Rotenberg the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Rotenberg win
56.5% probability
Expected goals
1.13 – 1.95
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Nenzing home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 6 meetings.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Rotenberg to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 22% / 22% / 57% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.13 goals for Nenzing and 1.95 for Rotenberg, a combined 3.08 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
44%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
78%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.1%
- 1–29.9%
- 0–19.0%
- 0–28.8%
- 1–36.4%
Recent form
Nenzing
- 2026-06-13T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Rotenberg · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-06-07T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Ludesch · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-06-03T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Admira Dornbirn · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-05-31T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Röthis · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-05-22T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Lochau · 0-1 (L)
Rotenberg
Head-to-head
- 2026-06-13T15:00:00.000Z · Nenzing 1-5 Rotenberg (Landesliga - Vorarlbergliga)
- 2025-11-08T11:00:00.000Z · Nenzing 5-2 Rotenberg (Landesliga - Vorarlbergliga)
- 2025-06-07T15:00:00.000Z · Nenzing 3-5 Rotenberg (Landesliga - Vorarlbergliga)
- 2024-11-03T13:30:00.000Z · Nenzing 2-2 Rotenberg (Landesliga - Vorarlbergliga)
- 2024-05-25T13:30:00.000Z · Nenzing 1-6 Rotenberg (Landesliga - Vorarlbergliga)
- 2023-10-15T14:00:00.000Z · Nenzing 0-4 Rotenberg (Landesliga - Vorarlbergliga)
Landesliga - Vorarlbergliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Röthis | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 50 |
| 2 | Wolfurt | 25 | 15 | 0 | 10 | 12 | 45 |
| 3 | Lochau | 25 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 45 |
| 4 | FC Egg | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 44 |
| 5 | Admira Dornbirn | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 43 |
| 6 | Dornbirner SV | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 37 |
| 7 | Hard | 24 | 11 | 2 | 11 | -2 | 35 |
| 8 | Ludesch | 25 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 34 |
| 9 | Blau-Weiß Feldkirch | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | -11 | 30 |
| 10 | Austria Lustenau II | 25 | 10 | 2 | 13 | -1 | 32 |
| 11 | Rotenberg | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | -3 | 31 |
| 12 | Bizau | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -16 | 25 |
| 13 | Nenzing | 25 | 6 | 4 | 14 | -28 | 22 |
| 14 | Göfis | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | -28 | 15 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Rotenberg win, at 56.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.