Fotbalovy areal Neratovice · Referee P. Orel · Analysis updated 18:29 UTC
Neratovice-Byškovice vs Slovácko Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.15 expected goals for Neratovice-Byškovice and 1.50 for Slovácko, a combined total of 4.65. That distribution gives Neratovice-Byškovice the largest share of the 1X2 market at 70%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 84% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 70% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Neratovice-Byškovice win
70.0% probability
Expected goals
3.15 – 1.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Slovácko away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Neratovice-Byškovice to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 70%, against 70% / 15% / 15% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.15 goals for Neratovice-Byškovice and 1.50 for Slovácko, a combined 4.65 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 84% and both teams to score at 74%, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
85%
Double chance 12
85%
Double chance X2
30%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–17.5%
- 2–17.1%
- 4–15.9%
- 3–25.6%
- 2–25.3%
Recent form
Neratovice-Byškovice
Slovácko
- 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Baník Ostrava · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-16T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Neratovice-Byškovice · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Bohemians 1905 · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Pardubice · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-30T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Plzen · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Neratovice-Byškovice win, at 70.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 74% and over 2.5 goals at 84%.
A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.