· Analysis updated 15:02 UTC
Neudrossenfeld vs Eintracht Bamberg Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.10 expected goals for Neudrossenfeld and 1.75 for Eintracht Bamberg, a combined total of 2.85. That distribution gives Eintracht Bamberg the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Eintracht Bamberg win
52.6% probability
Expected goals
1.10 – 1.75
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Neudrossenfeld home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Eintracht Bamberg away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Eintracht Bamberg to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 24% / 24% / 53% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.10 goals for Neudrossenfeld and 1.75 for Eintracht Bamberg, a combined 2.85 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
47%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
76%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.1%
- 0–110.1%
- 1–29.7%
- 0–28.9%
- 1–06.4%
Recent form
Neudrossenfeld
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Ammerthal · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · H vs DJK Bamberg · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Cham · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Eintracht Bamberg · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Großbardorf · 1-4 (L)
Eintracht Bamberg
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Cham · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Großbardorf · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Neudrossenfeld · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Ingolstadt II · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-08-29T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Nordlingen · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-03-06T18:00:00.000Z · Neudrossenfeld 2-2 Eintracht Bamberg (Oberliga - Bayern Nord)
- 2025-08-19T16:00:00.000Z · Neudrossenfeld 1-1 Eintracht Bamberg (Oberliga - Bayern Nord)
- 2023-07-16T12:30:00.000Z · Neudrossenfeld 1-1 Eintracht Bamberg (Friendlies Clubs)
Oberliga - Bayern Nord table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cham | 16 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 43 |
| 2 | Würzburger FV | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 31 |
| 3 | Bayern Hof | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 29 |
| 4 | Eintracht Bamberg | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 28 |
| 5 | Kornburg | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 27 |
| 6 | Gebenbach | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 27 |
| 7 | Jahn Regensburg II | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 26 |
| 8 | Viktoria Aschaffenburg | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 23 |
| 9 | Fortuna Regensburg | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 22 |
| 10 | Stadeln | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 21 |
| 11 | Neudrossenfeld | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | -5 | 19 |
| 12 | Großbardorf | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | -7 | 19 |
| 13 | Weiden | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -8 | 17 |
| 14 | Ammerthal | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -14 | 15 |
| 15 | DJK Bamberg | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -14 | 14 |
| 16 | Nordlingen | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -16 | 14 |
| 17 | Ingolstadt II | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 | ASV Neumarkt | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | -23 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Eintracht Bamberg win, at 52.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.
A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.