Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · Mittelrhein - 813:45

2 – 2

Sunday, 18 October 2026

· Analysis updated 09:02 UTC

Neunkirchen-Seelscheid vs Eintracht Hohkeppel Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.66 expected goals for Neunkirchen-Seelscheid and 2.60 for Eintracht Hohkeppel, a combined total of 4.26. That distribution gives Eintracht Hohkeppel the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 80% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Eintracht Hohkeppel win

58.1% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.66 – 2.60

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Neunkirchen-Seelscheid home form

    4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Eintracht Hohkeppel away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Eintracht Hohkeppel to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 24% / 18% / 58% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.66 goals for Neunkirchen-Seelscheid and 2.60 for Eintracht Hohkeppel, a combined 4.26 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Neunkirchen-Seelscheid win24%
Draw18%
Eintracht Hohkeppel win58%

Double chance 1X

42%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

76%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals92%
Over 2.5 goals80%
Over 3.5 goals61%
Both teams to score75%

Correct score

  • 1–27.9%
  • 1–36.9%
  • 2–26.6%
  • 1–16.1%
  • 2–35.7%

Recent form

Neunkirchen-Seelscheid

  • 2026-10-25T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Wegberg-Beeck · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-18T13:45:00.000Z · H vs Eintracht Hohkeppel · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-10-09T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Bornheim · 1-6 (L)
  • 2026-10-04T13:45:00.000Z · H vs Hürth · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-25T18:00:00.000Z · A vs VfL Vichttal · 0-3 (L)

Eintracht Hohkeppel

  • 2026-10-25T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Frechen · 3-5 (L)
  • 2026-10-18T13:45:00.000Z · A vs Neunkirchen-Seelscheid · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-10-11T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Chlodwig Zulpich · 4-3 (W)
  • 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs SSV Merten · 1-6 (L)
  • 2026-09-27T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Porz · 4-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Oberliga - Mittelrhein table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Wegberg-Beeck97111222
2SSV Merten96121819
3Eintracht Hohkeppel9522817
4Frechen9522417
5Düren Merzenich9513216
6Lindenthal-Hohenlind9432115
7Fortuna Köln II8413413
8VfL Vichttal9333712
9Bornheim9405012
10Siegburger SV9324-111
11Hürth9243-410
12Chlodwig Zulpich9315-510
13Hennef 059315-610
14TuS BW Königsdorf8206-236
15Porz9126-75
16Neunkirchen-Seelscheid9126-105

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Eintracht Hohkeppel win, at 58.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 75% and over 2.5 goals at 80%.

A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.