Neunkirchen-Seelscheid vs Frechen Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.54 expected goals for Neunkirchen-Seelscheid and 2.18 for Frechen, a combined total of 3.72. That distribution gives Frechen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Frechen win

52.3% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.54 – 2.18

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Neunkirchen-Seelscheid home form
3 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Frechen away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Frechen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 27% / 21% / 52% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.54 goals for Neunkirchen-Seelscheid and 2.18 for Frechen, a combined 3.72 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Neunkirchen-Seelscheid win27%

Draw21%

Frechen win52%

Double chance 1X

48%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

73%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%

Over 2.5 goals72%

Over 3.5 goals51%

Both teams to score70%

Correct score

1–28.9%
1–18.1%
2–26.8%
1–36.4%
2–16.3%

Recent form

Neunkirchen-Seelscheid

2026-10-04T13:45:00.000Z · H vs Hürth · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-25T18:00:00.000Z · A vs VfL Vichttal · 0-3 (L)
2026-09-20T13:45:00.000Z · H vs Lindenthal-Hohenlind · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-13T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Siegburger SV · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-06T13:45:00.000Z · H vs Frechen · 3-1 (W)

Frechen

2026-10-25T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Hohkeppel · 5-3 (W)
2026-10-18T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Bornheim · 2-1 (W)
2026-10-11T13:15:00.000Z · A vs Hürth · 2-1 (W)
2026-10-04T13:30:00.000Z · H vs VfL Vichttal · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-27T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Lindenthal-Hohenlind · 2-2 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Oberliga - Mittelrhein table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Wegberg-Beeck	9	7	1	1	12	22
2	SSV Merten	9	6	1	2	18	19
3	Eintracht Hohkeppel	9	5	2	2	8	17
4	Frechen	9	5	2	2	4	17
5	Düren Merzenich	9	5	1	3	2	16
6	Lindenthal-Hohenlind	9	4	3	2	1	15
7	Fortuna Köln II	8	4	1	3	4	13
8	VfL Vichttal	9	3	3	3	7	12
9	Bornheim	9	4	0	5	0	12
10	Siegburger SV	9	3	2	4	-1	11
11	Hürth	9	2	4	3	-4	10
12	Chlodwig Zulpich	9	3	1	5	-5	10
13	Hennef 05	9	3	1	5	-6	10
14	TuS BW Königsdorf	8	2	0	6	-23	6
15	Porz	9	1	2	6	-7	5
16	Neunkirchen-Seelscheid	9	1	2	6	-10	5

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Frechen win, at 52.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 72%.

A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.