Gillette Stadium · Analysis updated 21:10 UTC
New England II vs Huntsville City Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for New England II and 1.60 for Huntsville City, a combined total of 3.60. That distribution gives New England II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
New England II win
47.3% probability
Expected goals
2.00 – 1.60
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
New England II home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Huntsville City away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates New England II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 47% / 22% / 31% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.00 goals for New England II and 1.60 for Huntsville City, a combined 3.60 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
69%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
53%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–18.7%
- 2–18.7%
- 1–27.0%
- 2–27.0%
- 3–15.8%
Recent form
New England II
- 2026-08-30T23:00:00.000Z · H vs Huntsville City · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-08-22T21:00:00.000Z · A vs New York City II · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-19T23:00:00.000Z · A vs Inter Miami II · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-08-16T23:00:00.000Z · H vs Philadelphia Union II · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-08-09T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Connecticut FC · 2-1 (W)
Huntsville City
- 2026-09-20T18:00:00.000Z · A vs New York RB II · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T23:00:00.000Z · A vs Inter Miami II · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-10T00:00:00.000Z · H vs Chattanooga · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-30T23:00:00.000Z · A vs New England II · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-08-23T23:00:00.000Z · H vs Columbus Crew II · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
MLS Next Pro table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is New England II win, at 47.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 69% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.
A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.