Newcastle Jets II vs Macarthur Rams Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.39 expected goals for Newcastle Jets II and 1.57 for Macarthur Rams, a combined total of 2.96. That distribution gives Macarthur Rams the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 57% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws roughly 58% of the time.

Model pick

Macarthur Rams or Draw

66.2% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.39 – 1.57

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Newcastle Jets II win34%

Draw24%

Macarthur Rams win42%

Double chance 1X

58%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

66%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals79%

Over 2.5 goals57%

Over 3.5 goals34%

Both teams to score59%

Correct score

1–111.3%
1–28.9%
0–18.2%
2–17.9%
1–07.2%

Why the model likes this

Macarthur Rams away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Macarthur Rams to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 34% / 24% / 42% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.39 goals for Newcastle Jets II and 1.57 for Macarthur Rams, a combined 2.96 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 57% and both teams to score at 59%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Recent form

Newcastle Jets II

Macarthur Rams

2026-08-15T06:30:00.000Z · H vs Blacktown Spartans · 0-2 (L)
2026-08-08T07:00:00.000Z · A vs Dulwich Hill · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-01T07:00:00.000Z · A vs Bulls Academy · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-25T06:30:00.000Z · H vs Hurstville FC · 1-2 (L)
2026-07-17T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Prospect United · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

New South Wales NPL 2 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Blacktown Spartans	28	20	5	3	39	65
2	Northern Tigers	28	15	8	5	21	53
3	Bankstown City Lions	28	15	5	8	9	50
4	Macarthur Rams	28	14	6	8	6	48
5	Canterbury Bankstown	28	13	6	9	14	45
6	Hills Brumbies	28	12	7	9	7	43
7	Hakoah Sydney City	28	10	9	9	11	39
8	Rydalmere Lions	28	10	8	10	-2	38
9	Bulls Academy	28	11	4	13	5	37
10	Hurstville FC	27	9	6	12	-5	33
11	Inter Lions	28	9	5	14	-16	32
12	Dulwich Hill	28	7	9	12	-15	30
13	Newcastle Jets II	28	6	10	12	-11	28
14	Central Coast II	27	7	7	13	-12	28
15	Prospect United	28	3	14	11	-18	23
16	Mt Druitt Town	28	5	5	18	-33	20

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.