Zimbabwe · Premier Soccer League · Matchweek 2813:00

0 – 0

Saturday, 5 September 2026

HuntersWWWDL

Ngezi Baobab Stadium · Analysis updated 19:52 UTC

Ngezi Platinum vs Hunters Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.25 expected goals for Ngezi Platinum and 0.70 for Hunters, a combined total of 1.95. That distribution gives Ngezi Platinum the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 31% for over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 18%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Ngezi Platinum win

49.5% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.25 – 0.70

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Ngezi Platinum home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Hunters away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Ngezi Platinum to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 30% / 21% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.25 goals for Ngezi Platinum and 0.70 for Hunters, a combined 1.95 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Ngezi Platinum win50%
Draw30%
Hunters win21%

Double chance 1X

79%

Double chance 12

70%

Double chance X2

51%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals58%
Over 2.5 goals31%
Over 3.5 goals13%
Both teams to score36%

Correct score

  • 1–017.8%
  • 0–014.2%
  • 1–112.4%
  • 2–011.1%
  • 0–110.0%

Recent form

Ngezi Platinum

  • 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Hunters · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-23T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Manica Diamonds · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-01T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Agama · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Hardrock · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-07-23T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Triangle United · 1-1 (D)

Hunters

  • 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs TelOne · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Agama · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Manica Diamonds · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Ngezi Platinum · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-22T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Hardrock · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Premier Soccer League table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Hardrock3120653566
2Scotland Mabvuku30171033461
3Ngezi Platinum32141441356
4Dynamos32121641752
5CAPS United31131261151
6Herentals3214612-148
7MWOS31111281045
8Highlanders319166443
9Platinum329167043
10Chicken Inn31111010-143
11Simba Bhora3191210039
12Hunters3171410-1035
13Kariba3261511-933
14Bulawayo Chiefs3171014-1231
15Agama317717-2128
16Triangle United315917-1724
17TelOne3141017-2322
18Manica Diamonds314918-3021

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Ngezi Platinum win, at 49.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 36% and over 2.5 goals at 31%.

A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.