Stade Général Seyni Kountché · Referee O. Artan · Analysis updated 19:52 UTC
NIGELEC vs Pyramids FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.92 expected goals for NIGELEC and 1.83 for Pyramids FC, a combined total of 2.75. That distribution gives Pyramids FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Pyramids FC win
58.7% probability
Expected goals
0.92 – 1.83
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
NIGELEC home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Pyramids FC away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Pyramids FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 19% / 23% / 59% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.92 goals for NIGELEC and 1.83 for Pyramids FC, a combined 2.75 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
41%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
81%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–111.6%
- 1–110.8%
- 0–210.7%
- 1–29.9%
- 0–36.5%
Recent form
NIGELEC
- 2025-09-27T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Olympique Safi · 0-5 (L)
- 2025-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Olympique Safi · 0-1 (L)
- 2022-11-09T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Pyramids FC · 0-3 (L)
- 2022-11-02T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Pyramids FC · 1-0 (W)
- 2022-10-15T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Raja Casablanca · 0-1 (L)
Pyramids FC
- 2026-10-24T17:00:00.000Z · H vs EL Merriekh Bentiu · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-10-20T17:00:00.000Z · A vs El Geish · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-10-16T13:00:00.000Z · A vs EL Merriekh Bentiu · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-12T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Ceramica Cleopatra · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-10-07T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Olympic El Qanah · 3-2 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Pyramids FC win, at 58.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.