· Analysis updated 12:03 UTC
Nijlen vs Hades Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.89 expected goals for Nijlen and 2.49 for Hades, a combined total of 4.38. That distribution gives Hades the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 81% for over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Hades win
51.4% probability
Expected goals
1.89 – 2.49
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Nijlen home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Hades away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hades to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 30% / 19% / 51% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.89 goals for Nijlen and 2.49 for Hades, a combined 4.38 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
49%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
70%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–27.3%
- 2–26.9%
- 1–36.1%
- 1–15.9%
- 2–35.8%
Recent form
Nijlen
- 2026-10-18T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Union St. Gilloise · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-11T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Racing Mechelen · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-10-03T18:00:00.000Z · H vs De Kempen · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-30T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Sint-Truiden II · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Rupel Boom · 3-1 (W)
Hades
- 2026-10-24T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Nijlen · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-10-17T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Sint-Truiden II · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-10T17:30:00.000Z · A vs De Kempen · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-03T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Bocholt · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Tongeren · 3-3 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-01-17T18:30:00.000Z · Nijlen 1-2 Hades (Second Amateur Division - VFV B)
- 2025-08-30T18:00:00.000Z · Nijlen 3-0 Hades (Second Amateur Division - VFV B)
Second Amateur Division - VFV B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tempo Overijse | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 24 |
| 2 | De Kempen | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Racing Mechelen | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | Royal Antwerp II | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Hades | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 |
| 6 | Eendracht Termien | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 |
| 7 | Bocholt | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | Wilrijk | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Rupel Boom | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 | Nijlen | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 11 |
| 11 | Sint-Truiden II | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Rotselaar | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 | Wellen | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 | Diegem Sport | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 | Cappellen | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -13 | 6 |
| 16 | Tongeren | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -6 | 5 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Hades win, at 51.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 78% and over 2.5 goals at 81%.
A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.