Greece · Super League 2 · Promotion Group - 413:00
Niki VolosWDWDW

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Sunday, 8 March 2026

· Analysis updated 09:17 UTC

Niki Volos vs Anagennisi Karditsas Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.28 expected goals for Niki Volos and 0.76 for Anagennisi Karditsas, a combined total of 2.05. That distribution gives Niki Volos the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 34% for over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 17%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Niki Volos win

48.7% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.28 – 0.76

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Niki Volos home form

    5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Anagennisi Karditsas away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Niki Volos to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 49% / 29% / 22% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.28 goals for Niki Volos and 0.76 for Anagennisi Karditsas, a combined 2.05 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Niki Volos win49%
Draw29%
Anagennisi Karditsas win22%

Double chance 1X

78%

Double chance 12

71%

Double chance X2

51%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals61%
Over 2.5 goals34%
Over 3.5 goals15%
Both teams to score39%

Correct score

  • 1–016.6%
  • 0–012.9%
  • 1–112.7%
  • 2–010.6%
  • 0–19.9%

Recent form

Niki Volos

  • 2026-10-19T11:45:00.000Z · H vs Panionios · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-11T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Ellas Syros · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T11:45:00.000Z · H vs Larisa · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Nestos Chrisoupolis · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-21T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Panthrakikos · 0-1 (L)

Anagennisi Karditsas

  • 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Pyrgos 1968 · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Zakynthos · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Asteras Tripolis II · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Apollon Pontou · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Panionios · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Super League 2 table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Marko7610719
2Kallithea8521517
3Panionios7421514
4Panserraikos8422414
5Larisa8341513
6Niki Volos8323211
7Ellas Syros8242410
8Panthrakikos723219
9Anagennisi Karditsas7223-28
10Asteras Tripolis II7223-28
11Nestos Chrisoupolis8224-38
12Apollon Pontou8224-38
13PAOK II7223-48
14Olympiakos Piraeus II8134-66
15Pyrgos 19687124-55
16Zakynthos7034-83

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Niki Volos win, at 48.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 39% and over 2.5 goals at 34%.

A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.