Nizhny Novgorod U19 vs Rubin Kazan U20 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.72 expected goals for Nizhny Novgorod U19 and 1.62 for Rubin Kazan U20, a combined total of 3.34. That distribution gives Nizhny Novgorod U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Home/Draw

63.3% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.72 – 1.62

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Nizhny Novgorod U19 home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Rubin Kazan U20 away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Nizhny Novgorod U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 23% / 37% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.72 goals for Nizhny Novgorod U19 and 1.62 for Rubin Kazan U20, a combined 3.34 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Nizhny Novgorod U19 win41%

Draw23%

Rubin Kazan U20 win37%

Double chance 1X

63%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

59%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals85%

Over 2.5 goals65%

Over 3.5 goals43%

Both teams to score66%

Correct score

1–19.9%
2–18.5%
1–28.0%
2–26.9%
1–06.1%

Recent form

Nizhny Novgorod U19

2026-10-16T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Krasnodar U19 · 0-5 (L)
2026-10-09T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Rostov U19 · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-18T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Rodina Moscow U19 · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-11T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Chertanovo U20 · 4-3 (W)
2026-09-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs CSKA Moskva U19 · 1-5 (L)

Rubin Kazan U20

2026-10-23T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Lokomotiv Moskva U19 · 3-1 (W)
2026-10-16T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Spartak Moskva U19 · 4-2 (W)
2026-10-09T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Dynamo Makhachkala U19 · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-23T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Krasnodar U19 · 2-4 (L)
2026-09-18T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Akademiya Konoplev U20 · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Youth Championship table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CSKA Moskva U19	27	21	2	4	53	65
2	Zenit U19	27	19	3	5	45	60
3	Krasnodar U19	27	18	3	6	38	57
4	Rodina Moscow U19	27	17	3	7	32	54
5	Lokomotiv Moskva U19	27	15	5	7	20	50
6	Akademiya Konoplev U20	27	14	5	8	12	47
7	Almaz Antey U19	27	13	5	9	-5	44
8	Spartak Moskva U19	27	7	11	9	-6	32
9	Rostov U19	27	9	5	13	-9	32
10	Dinamo Moskva U19	27	9	4	14	-8	31
11	Dynamo Makhachkala U19	27	8	4	15	-24	28
12	Chertanovo U20	27	7	5	15	-25	26
13	Ural U20	27	7	4	16	-26	25
14	Nizhny Novgorod U19	27	6	4	17	-40	22
15	Rubin Kazan U20	27	6	3	18	-30	21
16	Fakel U19	27	5	4	18	-27	19

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 63.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.