Klaukkalan urheilualue · Analysis updated 12:22 UTC
NJS vs ÅIFK Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.60 expected goals for NJS and 2.87 for ÅIFK, a combined total of 3.47. That distribution gives ÅIFK the largest share of the 1X2 market at 83%, with the draw at 11%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 83% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
ÅIFK win
83.4% probability
Expected goals
0.60 – 2.87
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
NJS home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates ÅIFK to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 83%, against 5% / 11% / 83% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.60 goals for NJS and 2.87 for ÅIFK, a combined 3.47 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 67% and both teams to score at 43%, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
17%
Double chance 12
89%
Double chance X2
95%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–212.8%
- 0–312.2%
- 0–18.9%
- 0–48.8%
- 1–27.7%
Recent form
NJS
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs GrIFK · 1-6 (L)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs EBK · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Musa · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs EBK · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs GrIFK · 2-1 (W)
ÅIFK
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Kakkonen - Lohko B table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is ÅIFK win, at 83.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 43% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.
A 83% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.