Klaukkalan urheilualue · Analysis updated 12:23 UTC
NJS vs GrIFK Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.89 expected goals for NJS and 1.95 for GrIFK, a combined total of 2.85. That distribution gives GrIFK the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
GrIFK win
62.1% probability
Expected goals
0.89 – 1.95
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
NJS home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
GrIFK away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates GrIFK to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 62%, against 17% / 21% / 62% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.89 goals for NJS and 1.95 for GrIFK, a combined 2.85 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
38%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
83%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–111.3%
- 0–211.1%
- 1–110.1%
- 1–29.9%
- 0–37.2%
Recent form
NJS
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs GrIFK · 1-6 (L)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs EBK · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Musa · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs EBK · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs GrIFK · 2-1 (W)
GrIFK
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs NJS · 6-1 (W)
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Musa · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-09-26T16:00:00.000Z · A vs EBK · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-18T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Musa · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs NJS · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Kakkonen - Lohko B table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is GrIFK win, at 62.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.