Klaukkalan urheilualue · Analysis updated 09:15 UTC
NJS vs Musa Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.43 expected goals for NJS and 1.71 for Musa, a combined total of 3.14. That distribution gives Musa the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
67.7% probability
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.71
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
NJS home form
0 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Musa away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Musa to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 32% / 24% / 44% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.43 goals for NJS and 1.71 for Musa, a combined 3.14 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
56%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
68%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.6%
- 1–29.0%
- 2–17.6%
- 0–17.4%
- 2–26.5%
Recent form
NJS
- 2026-08-22T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Musa · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-15T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Ilves II · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Honka · 0-7 (L)
- 2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · H vs P-Iirot · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-24T16:00:00.000Z · H vs ÅIFK · 1-2 (L)
Musa
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs EBK · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs GrIFK · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-09-26T15:00:00.000Z · H vs NJS · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-18T15:30:00.000Z · A vs GrIFK · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs EBK · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Kakkonen - Lohko B table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 67.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.
A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.