Finland · Kakkonen - Lohko B · Group B - 1514:00
NJSLWLLW

0 – 1

Saturday, 1 August 2026

P-IirotLWLWD

Klaukkalan urheilualue · Analysis updated 11:33 UTC

NJS vs P-Iirot Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.15 expected goals for NJS and 1.98 for P-Iirot, a combined total of 3.13. That distribution gives P-Iirot the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

P-Iirot win

56.5% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.15 – 1.98

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • NJS home form

    9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • P-Iirot away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates P-Iirot to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 22% / 22% / 57% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.15 goals for NJS and 1.98 for P-Iirot, a combined 3.13 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

NJS win22%
Draw22%
P-Iirot win57%

Double chance 1X

44%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

78%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Over 3.5 goals38%
Both teams to score59%

Correct score

  • 1–110.0%
  • 1–29.9%
  • 0–18.7%
  • 0–28.6%
  • 1–36.5%

Recent form

NJS

  • 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs GrIFK · 1-6 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs EBK · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Musa · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs EBK · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs GrIFK · 2-1 (W)

P-Iirot

  • 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs HJS Akatemia · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs EPS · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-07T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Ilves II · 1-6 (L)
  • 2026-09-02T16:00:00.000Z · H vs ÅIFK · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-28T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Honka · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Kakkonen - Lohko B table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Honka1813413943
2ÅIFK1812332039
3EPS1810261332
4HJS Akatemia18945631
5Ilves II188642130
6P-Iirot18837527
7GrIFK18738-824
8EBK184311-1615
9Musa183312-3612
10NJS180117-441

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is P-Iirot win, at 56.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.

A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.