Edwin Imboela Stadium · Analysis updated 06:12 UTC
Nkwazi vs Kansanshi Dynamos Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.73 expected goals for Nkwazi and 0.90 for Kansanshi Dynamos, a combined total of 1.63. That distribution gives Kansanshi Dynamos the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 35%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 22% for over 2.5 goals and 31% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 20%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
72.4% probability
Expected goals
0.73 – 0.90
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Nkwazi home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Kansanshi Dynamos away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 1 of the last 8 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
62%
Double chance 12
65%
Double chance X2
72%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–019.7%
- 0–117.7%
- 1–014.3%
- 1–112.8%
- 0–28.0%
Recent form
Nkwazi
- 2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Green Eagles · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Green Buffaloes · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Chirundu Utd · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Roan United · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-05-24T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Prison Leopards · 0-1 (L)
Kansanshi Dynamos
- 2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Zanaco · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Konkola Blades · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Man Utd Zambia Academy · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Makeni All Stars · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-05-23T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Nkana · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-17T13:00:00.000Z · Nkwazi 1-0 Kansanshi Dynamos (Super League)
- 2026-01-24T13:00:00.000Z · Nkwazi 0-1 Kansanshi Dynamos (Super League)
- 2024-02-24T13:00:00.000Z · Nkwazi 1-1 Kansanshi Dynamos (Super League)
- 2023-09-23T13:00:00.000Z · Nkwazi 0-0 Kansanshi Dynamos (Super League)
- 2023-01-28T13:00:00.000Z · Nkwazi 0-1 Kansanshi Dynamos (Super League)
- 2022-09-10T13:00:00.000Z · Nkwazi 0-1 Kansanshi Dynamos (Super League)
- 2022-05-08T13:00:00.000Z · Nkwazi 0-0 Kansanshi Dynamos (Super League)
- 2021-12-18T11:00:00.000Z · Nkwazi 1-0 Kansanshi Dynamos (Super League)
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zanaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ZESCO United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Nchanga Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Green Buffaloes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Nkana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Kabwe Warriors | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Power Dynamos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Red Arrows | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Konkola Blades | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Roan United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | NAPSA Stars | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Green Eagles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Man Utd Zambia Academy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Nkwazi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Kansanshi Dynamos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Mufulira Wanderers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Trident | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Mutondo Stars | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Makeni All Stars | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Chirundu Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 72.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 31% and over 2.5 goals at 22%.
A 72% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.