Edmund-Plambeck-Stadion · Analysis updated 08:34 UTC
Norderstedt II vs Altona 93 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.81 expected goals for Norderstedt II and 3.05 for Altona 93, a combined total of 4.86. That distribution gives Altona 93 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 86% for over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score, with 1–3 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Altona 93 win
62.7% probability
Expected goals
1.81 – 3.05
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Norderstedt II home form
0 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Altona 93 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Altona 93 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 63%, against 21% / 16% / 63% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.81 goals for Norderstedt II and 3.05 for Altona 93, a combined 4.86 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
37%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
79%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–36.6%
- 1–26.5%
- 2–36.0%
- 2–25.9%
- 1–45.1%
Recent form
Norderstedt II
- 2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Concordia · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-09-04T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Teutonia Ottensen · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-08-29T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Tus Dassendorf · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-21T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Sasel · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-14T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Süderelbe · 1-3 (L)
Altona 93
- 2026-10-02T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Norderstedt II · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Harksheide · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · H vs HEBC · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Buchholz · 5-5 (D)
- 2026-08-28T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Concordia · 4-3 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Oberliga - Hamburg table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paloma | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 29 |
| 2 | Victoria Hamburg | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 26 |
| 3 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 24 |
| 4 | Tus Dassendorf | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 23 |
| 5 | Niendorfer TSV | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 23 |
| 6 | Altona 93 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 21 |
| 7 | HT16 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 20 |
| 8 | Pinneberg | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 20 |
| 9 | Süderelbe | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 18 |
| 10 | Sasel | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 17 |
| 11 | HEBC | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | -3 | 15 |
| 12 | Buchholz | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -9 | 15 |
| 13 | ETSV Hamburg | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -1 | 14 |
| 14 | Teutonia Ottensen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -11 | 12 |
| 15 | Nikola Tesla | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -2 | 11 |
| 16 | Concordia | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -15 | 11 |
| 17 | Harksheide | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -11 | 8 |
| 18 | Norderstedt II | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | -22 | 7 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Altona 93 win, at 62.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–3.
It puts both teams scoring at 79% and over 2.5 goals at 86%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.