· Analysis updated 12:16 UTC
Nordsjælland W vs AGF W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.64 expected goals for Nordsjælland W and 0.71 for AGF W, a combined total of 4.36. That distribution gives Nordsjælland W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 89%, with the draw at 8%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 80% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 89% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Nordsjælland W win
88.7% probability
Expected goals
3.64 – 0.71
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Nordsjælland W home form
10 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
AGF W away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Nordsjælland W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 89%, against 89% / 8% / 4% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.64 goals for Nordsjælland W and 0.71 for AGF W, a combined 4.36 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
96%
Double chance 12
92%
Double chance X2
11%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–010.3%
- 4–09.4%
- 2–08.5%
- 3–17.4%
- 5–06.9%
Recent form
Nordsjælland W
- 2026-10-18T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Midtjylland W · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Køge W · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Fortuna Hjørring W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-22T17:00:00.000Z · A vs AGF W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-15T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Midtjylland W · 4-1 (W)
AGF W
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · A vs KoldingQ W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-29T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Odense Q W · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-22T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Nordsjælland W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Copenhagen W · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Midtjylland W · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Kvindeliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Køge W | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 25 |
| 2 | Nordsjælland W | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 22 |
| 3 | Brøndby W | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 20 |
| 4 | Fortuna Hjørring W | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 18 |
| 5 | Midtjylland W | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 18 |
| 6 | ASA Aarhus W | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 16 |
| 7 | KoldingQ W | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 13 |
| 8 | Odense Q W | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 13 |
| 9 | FC Copenhagen W | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | -22 | 6 |
| 10 | AGF W | 11 | 1 | 0 | 10 | -19 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Nordsjælland W win, at 88.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 80%.
A 89% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.