Denmark · Kvindeliga · Matchweek 109:30

0 – 1

Sunday, 26 July 2026

Odense Q WLWLWD

· Analysis updated 18:22 UTC

Nordsjælland W vs Odense Q W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.06 expected goals for Nordsjælland W and 0.67 for Odense Q W, a combined total of 3.74. That distribution gives Nordsjælland W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 84%, with the draw at 11%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 84% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Nordsjælland W win

84.3% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

3.06 – 0.67

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Nordsjælland W home form

    10 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Odense Q W away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Nordsjælland W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 84%, against 84% / 11% / 5% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 3.06 goals for Nordsjælland W and 0.67 for Odense Q W, a combined 3.74 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Nordsjælland W win84%
Draw11%
Odense Q W win5%

Double chance 1X

95%

Double chance 12

90%

Double chance X2

16%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals72%
Over 3.5 goals51%
Both teams to score46%

Correct score

  • 3–011.4%
  • 2–011.2%
  • 4–08.8%
  • 3–17.7%
  • 2–17.5%

Recent form

Nordsjælland W

  • 2026-10-18T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Midtjylland W · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Køge W · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Fortuna Hjørring W · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-22T17:00:00.000Z · A vs AGF W · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-15T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Midtjylland W · 4-1 (W)

Odense Q W

  • 2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Brøndby W · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-06T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Fortuna Hjørring W · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-08-29T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Midtjylland W · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-19T17:00:00.000Z · A vs KoldingQ W · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Køge W · 0-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Kvindeliga table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Køge W129212029
2Nordsjælland W116412022
3Brøndby W126331621
4Fortuna Hjørring W126331321
5Midtjylland W12633321
6ASA Aarhus W12615-419
7KoldingQ W12417-1013
8Odense Q W12417-1513
9FC Copenhagen W122010-246
10AGF W111010-193

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Nordsjælland W win, at 84.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 72%.

A 84% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.