Right to Dream Park · Referee L. Van Der Helm · Analysis updated 01:38 UTC
Nordsjælland W vs ŽNK Mura W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.56 expected goals for Nordsjælland W and 1.03 for ŽNK Mura W, a combined total of 3.59. That distribution gives Nordsjælland W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 70%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 70% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Nordsjælland W win
70.4% probability
Expected goals
2.56 – 1.03
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Nordsjælland W home form
10 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Nordsjælland W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 70%, against 70% / 17% / 13% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.56 goals for Nordsjælland W and 1.03 for ŽNK Mura W, a combined 3.59 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 69% and both teams to score at 59%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
87%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
30%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.3%
- 2–09.1%
- 3–17.9%
- 3–07.7%
- 1–17.3%
Recent form
Nordsjælland W
- 2026-10-18T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Midtjylland W · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Køge W · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Fortuna Hjørring W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-22T17:00:00.000Z · A vs AGF W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-15T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Midtjylland W · 4-1 (W)
ŽNK Mura W
- 2026-08-08T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Hajduk Split W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-05T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Farul Constanţa W · 1-3 (L)
- 2025-11-19T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Nordsjælland W · 0-4 (L)
- 2025-11-12T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Nordsjælland W · 0-1 (L)
- 2025-10-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Dinamo-BGU W · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Nordsjælland W win, at 70.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.
A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.