Norway · 3. Division - Girone 1 · Matchweek 2611:00
NordstrandLLLLW

11:00 UTC

Sunday, 1 November 2026

IF ReadyLWWLW

· Analysis updated 15:34 UTC

Nordstrand vs IF Ready Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.30 expected goals for Nordstrand and 2.30 for IF Ready, a combined total of 4.60. That distribution gives Nordstrand the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 84% for over 2.5 goals and 81% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Home/Draw

59.6% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.30 – 2.30

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Nordstrand home form

    3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • IF Ready away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Nordstrand to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 40% / 19% / 40% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.30 goals for Nordstrand and 2.30 for IF Ready, a combined 4.60 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Nordstrand win40%
Draw19%
IF Ready win40%

Double chance 1X

60%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

60%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals94%
Over 2.5 goals84%
Over 3.5 goals67%
Both teams to score81%

Correct score

  • 2–27.0%
  • 1–26.1%
  • 2–16.1%
  • 2–35.4%
  • 3–25.4%

Recent form

Nordstrand

  • 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Vålerenga II · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Asker · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Lokomotiv Oslo · 5-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Union Carl Berner · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Bærum · 0-1 (L)

IF Ready

  • 2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Union Carl Berner · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Bærum · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · H vs SF Grei · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-21T17:00:00.000Z · A vs KFUM II · 5-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Ullern · 4-3 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

3. Division - Girone 1 table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Asker2421124964
2Heming2414552447
3Gamle Oslo2414282744
4Vålerenga II2413110-940
5IF Ready2411671439
6Bærum24122102038
7Union Carl Berner2412210838
8Frigg24969-533
9Lokomotiv Oslo249213-2229
10KFUM II248412-1328
11SF Grei248115-2925
12Ullern247215-1923
13Nordstrand246216-1820
14Konnerud245217-2717

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 59.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 81% and over 2.5 goals at 84%.

A 60% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.