Sweden · Damallsvenskan · Regular Season - 2014:00

14:00 UTC

Saturday, 26 September 2026

Häcken WWWWWW

Norrkopings Idrottspark · Analysis updated 01:31 UTC

Norrköping W vs Häcken W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.88 expected goals for Norrköping W and 2.21 for Häcken W, a combined total of 3.09. That distribution gives Häcken W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 68%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 68% favourite still loses or draws roughly 32% of the time.

Model pick

Häcken W to Win

67.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

0.88 – 2.21

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Norrköping W win14%
Draw19%
Häcken W win68%

Double chance 1X

32%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

87%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Over 3.5 goals37%
Both teams to score52%

Correct score

  • 0–211.2%
  • 0–110.1%
  • 1–29.8%
  • 1–18.8%
  • 0–38.2%

Why the model likes this

  • Norrköping W home form

    5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Häcken W away threat

    Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Häcken W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 68%, against 14% / 19% / 68% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.88 goals for Norrköping W and 2.21 for Häcken W, a combined 3.09 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Norrköping W

  • 2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Uppsala W · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-25T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Hammarby W · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-06-24T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Vittsjö W · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-06-18T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Växjö W · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-06-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Rosengård W · 1-1 (D)

Häcken W

  • 2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Brommapojkarna W · 6-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Piteå W · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-02T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Eskilstuna United W · 6-0 (W)
  • 2026-06-24T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Uppsala W · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-06-18T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Rosengård W · 2-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Damallsvenskan table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Häcken W1413013139
2Hammarby W1311112534
3Malmö FF W147431925
4AIK W14734124
5Eskilstuna United W14725-523
6Vittsjö W14635021
7Kristianstad W13535-318
8Piteå W13436-515
9Brommapojkarna W14509-1315
10Växjö W14428-614
11Djurgården W14428-614
12Norrköping W13265-312
13Rosengård W14248-510
14Uppsala W141310-306

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.